“The odds of an El Nino, characterised by a heating of the equatorial Central Pacific over half a degree, are low this year. Currently, the Pacific is in a (converse) La Nina mode and while it is expected to weaken a bit in the coming months, during monsoon months (June-September) it is forecast to increase,” Skymet Weather told media.
“Over neutral conditions are likely to prevail,” he added.
An El Nino is historically associated, in many years, with a weakening of monsoon rainfall over India.
Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) will release its report later this month. (UNI)